COVID-19 from Within-Host Infection to Between-Host Transmission: Modeling Perspective

TITLE:

CSRC Colloquium

COVID-19 from Within-Host Infection to Between-Host Transmission: Modeling Perspective

DATE:

Friday, September 10, 2021

TIME:

3:30 PM

LOCATION:

GMCS 314

SPEAKER:

Naveen Vaidya, Mathematics and Statistics, San Diego State University

ABSTRACT:

Despite the development of vaccines, the COVID-19 pandemic still poses a continuous threat due to the emergence of multiple strains. Insights into the virus infection dynamics within a host and virus transmission dynamics between hosts are crucial for effective control strategies. In the first part of this talk, I will present mathematical models describing how virus spreads within a single host. In particular, we implement viral load data from ferrets (animal model) to estimate key parameters related to SARS-CoV-2 infection. In the second part, I will discuss between-hosts models for the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a community. We apply our models to the unique data-sets from Nepal, which shares open-border with India, one of the most COVID-19 impacted countries in the world. I will demonstrate how our data-driven models can provide vital information for developing control strategies for both within-host and between-host scales.

HOST:

Uduak George

VIDEO: