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One of the main problems in hydrology
is the time scale of the rainfall
data. Most of the rainfall data
is given at a time scale coarser
than the one needed for an estimation
of spatially continuous rainfall,
for drainage system design or many
other applications in hydrology
and environmental sciences. So,
a method to disaggregate monthly
rainfall to daily or lower temporal
scale is very important in many
applications. Many authors have
addressed this problem by preserving
some statistical properties of the
rainfall series by using some stochastic
methods including several stochastic
rainfall models. The lowering resolution
methods must be low cost and low
storage methods since the amount
of rainfall data is large. The purpose
of this work is to formulate this
problem as a constrained optimization
problem and solve it with a low
cost and low storage deterministic
optimization method. We modified
the objective function proposed
by Guenni and Bardossy (2002) for
solving the disaggregation rainfall
problem and we use the spectral
projected gradient (SPG) method.
This method is a deterministic low
cost and low storage method based
on the projection of the negative
gradient that uses a spectral choice
of the steplength that makes the
method very competitive and sometimes
preferable than some other low cost
optimization techniques. In contrast
with the stochastic method, a deterministic
method will take into account important
information, as for example the
gradient of the objective function.
The proposed method was applied
to a data set from a rainfall network
of the central plains of Venezuela,
in where rainfall is highly seasonal
and data availability at a daily
time scale or even higher temporal
resolution is very limited. The
numerical results show that the
SPG method for solving the disaggregation
rainfall problem takes into account
typical features of the initial
rainfall series used as initial
iterate and avoid daily precipitations
outliers that might occur as an
artifact of the simulation procedure.
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